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We wrote about the spring and summer 2022 LEGO reveal wave when it was fresh news: new sets, retail prices, release windows, the usual rundown. Four years later, the interesting question isn’t what got revealed, it’s what happened to those sets afterward. A reveal-wave post is only useful in the moment it’s published unless you come back and check the results, so here’s the follow-up.
Republic Fighter Tank (75342), released April 2022
262 pieces at $39.99, part of that spring’s Star Wars wave. It stayed on shelves through the end of 2023 before retiring. Current secondary market value sits around $49 new and $40 used, a modest bump on new copies and close to flat on used. This is a normal, unremarkable outcome for a mid-tier Star Wars set: real but not exciting appreciation, exactly what you’d expect from a $40 vehicle in a wave with a dozen other releases competing for the same buyers.
Check on Amazon · Check on LEGO.com
Horizon Forbidden West: Tallneck (76989), released May 2022
We reviewed this one separately in more depth, but the short version fits the same pattern: $89.99 at launch, retired at the end of 2023, and now running around $127 new, close to a 40% gain. The gaming tie-in and the Icons-line collector base gave it a stronger floor than a standard Star Wars vehicle at a similar price point.
The pattern worth taking from this
Neither of these sets was a runaway flip, and that’s the actual lesson. A reveal-wave article treats every new set as equally exciting on release day, but the resale market sorts them out over the following years based on things a reveal post can’t tell you yet: how big the print run turned out to be, whether the theme still has momentum once the set retires, and whether it has a fandom outside of LEGO collectors specifically (a video game tie-in, in the Tallneck’s case).
If you want to actually use “what’s being revealed this season” as an investing signal rather than just news to read, the better question is: which of these will still have people looking for them in 3 years, after the initial hype from the reveal itself has worn off. That’s a harder question to answer in the moment, but it’s the one that actually predicts resale value.